Market Commentary

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Market Commentary: Vaccine Distribution, Stimulus Package Driving Economic Growth Estimates

The impact of government stimulus checks continues to permeate economic data. Personal income rose 10% in January, and disposable income rose 11.4%. Where did the money go? It primarily bought goods or was saved. Goods spending rose 5.8% in January, and the personal savings rate jumped to 2 …

Market Commentary: Stimulus Fuels Retail Sales as Strong Housing Market Faces Hurdles

American consumers put their stimulus checks to work last month. Retail and food service sales rose 5.3% in January, after declining 1.0% in December (Figure 1). Compared to one year ago, sales are 7.4% higher. The strong data resulted from the stimulus checks and declining virus cases. Bec …

Market Commentary: Despite Initial Worry, Inflation Remains Well Controlled

U.S. inflation rose 0.3% last month and is now up 1.4% for the year (Figure 1). Investor concern about inflation has increased in recent months against the backdrop of large stimulus packages and hopes of an economic recovery. Pushing back against that concern is a slowly recovering labor …

Market Commentary: Federal Interest Rates Remain Low with No Increases Planned

The U.S. employment situation remains lackluster. Only 49,000 new jobs were created in January. Unemployment dropped but only because labor force participation fell from 63.4% to 61.4% (Figure 1). As COVID-19 cases have dropped this year, some improvement is expected in coming months. Vacc …

Market Commentary: Understanding ‘Short Squeezes’ and Last Week’s Intense Market Demands

The prices of a small set of heavily shorted stocks spiked last week as multiple factors conspired to create an intense demand for shares of some companies. The extreme move in prices has created a large gap between the current price and the price targets of even the most optimistic investors.

Market Commentary: Chinese GDP Grew in 2020; U.S. Corporations Outperform Q4 Expectations.

Chinese GDP grew 2.3% in 2020, making it the only major economy to grow last year. In the fourth quarter, the Chinese economy grew 6.5% as China continued to gain ground on the U.S. economy. The growth was led by strong performance in industrial production, which rose 7.3% in December, comp …

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Market Commentary

Market Commentary: Vaccine Distribution, Stimulus Package Driving Economic Growth Estimates

Market Commentary: Stimulus Fuels Retail Sales as Strong Housing Market Faces Hurdles

Market Commentary: Despite Initial Worry, Inflation Remains Well Controlled

Market Commentary: Federal Interest Rates Remain Low with No Increases Planned

Market Commentary: Understanding ‘Short Squeezes’ and Last Week’s Intense Market Demands

Market Commentary: Chinese GDP Grew in 2020; U.S. Corporations Outperform Q4 Expectations.

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